| 词汇 | overconfidence |
| 释义 | overconfidence noun[ U ] uk /ˌəʊ.vəˈkɒn.fɪ.dəns/ us /ˌoʊ.vɚˈkɑːn.fə.dəns/ the quality of being too certain of your abilities or of your chances of success: 过于自信，自负 He cautioned against overconfidence.他告诫不要过度自信。 Good preparation can sometimes lead to overconfidence.良好的准备有时会导致过度自信。 Let's not lose because of overconfidence. In his overconfidence he'd neglected some lab work. The danger for the campaign is they fall back into complacency and overconfidence. Showing arrogance and conceit (as) proud as Luciferidiom airs and gracesidiom arrogant arrogantly as if you owned the placeidiom egoistic egoistically egomaniacal egomaniacally egotistic patronizingly pomposity pompous pompously popinjay swollen head swollen-headed talk down to someone think the (whole) world revolves around youidiom throw your weight aroundidiom Examples of overconfidenceoverconfidence Overconfidence becomes very large for very destructive events! Overconfidence, he argues, is ' 'a widespread phenomenon that we cannot ignore in attempting to understand the conflict. Some biases (overprojection and overconfidence), however, are unrelated to intelligence. One has been called "overconfidence bias," and is defined as mean confidence minus proportion correct (many different phenomena have been labeled overconfidence). Overconfidence is especially a problem with extreme probabilities, that is probabilities close to 0% or 100%. To suppress overconfidence and overestimation, questions should be prepared for assessment of an event's probability as well as for its complement(s). Their findings suggest that men's overconfidence leads to excessive trading which causes inferior performance. This phenomenon was labeled "overconfidence bias" or "miscalibration" and was attributed to confirmation biases or wishful thinking. We notice that the anthropic overconfidence bias is strongest for low-probability density (' rare ') events. Stanovich (1999) describes studies of knowledge calibration and overconfidence in which coherence rationality is the main issue. Yet some ideas, such as overconfidence, are supported by a robust empirical literature, while others are based on small laboratory samples and have yet to be widely validated. Even if these assumptions are accepted, normative responding on many tasks often fails to be constrained by these limitations, as the overconfidence and false consensus findings indicate. Even the less flattering physician stereotypes (including attributions of overconfidence, arrogance, and egotism) would, if internalized, tend to enhance a physician's perception of herself as capable of autonomous action. But while sales and orders continue to increase, the partners behind the report warn against overconfidence. From the Hansard archive Example from the Hansard archive. Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0 There will always be the hazard of human error, but most accidents result from misplaced overconfidence, or ignorance of, or contempt for, the safety regulations. From the Hansard archive Example from the Hansard archive. Contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0 These examples are from corpora and from sources on the web. Any opinions in the examples do not represent the opinion of the Cambridge Dictionary editors or of Cambridge University Press or its licensors. |
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